NFL Week 11 - Zapowiedź - Późniejsze mecze
Zapraszam do lektury drugiej części zapowiedzi spotkań jedenastej kolejki NFL. Tym razem na tapetę trafiają standardowo mecze rozpoczynające się późnym wieczorem czasu polskiego w najbliższą niedzielę oraz spotkania bloków Sunday Night Football oraz Monday Night Football.
Seattle Seahawks (5-4) @ New Orleans Saints (6-3)
Reggie Bush powinien wrócić, Pierre Thomas być może zagra a cały zespół właśnie miał kolejkę przerwy. Czy tym samym rozwiązali swoje problemy ofensywne w redzone z jakimi zmagają się przez cały sezon? Przekonamy się wkrótce, Bush i Thomas mają spore znaczenie w tej kwestii. Choćby z powodu urazów pośród zawodników formacji defensywnej Seahawks. Od pewnego momentu Seattle nie jest w stanie powstrzymywać akcji biegowych, dlatego udane zagrania w ten sposób Saints, ułatwią prowadzenie gry rozgrywającemu. Drew Brees powinien mieć tym samym jeszcze łatwiejsze zadanie rozmontowania secondary gości, które należy do jednych ze słabszych w lidze. Rozgrywający jednak będzie musiał uważać, Seahawks mają w tym sezonie 26 sacks i o ile z akcjami biegowymi w defensywie wypadają kiepsko, to presję na QBs potrafią wywierać skutecznie.
Seahawks mieli ogromne problemy ze zdobywaniem punktów przez dwie kolejki (w sumie 10 punktów przeciwko Raiders oraz Giants), jednak teraz rzeczy wrócą do normalności. Dlaczego? Matt Hasselbeck oraz Mike Williams są znów zdrowi i gotowi do gry. Wprawdzie rozgrywający nie jest już tym zawodnikiem co kiedyś, jednak nadal potrafi bardzo solidnie wykonywać swoją pracę. Zwłaszcza skuteczna współpraca z Williams'em, który przykłada się do gry chyba pierwszy raz w swojej karierze. Nie wiem jak cornerbacks Saints będą w stanie skutecznie powstrzymać tego skrzydłowego. Dodatkowo do składu powinien wrócić zawodnik offensive line, Russell Okung. Jego obecność będzie miała ogromne znaczenie odnośnie tego jak skutecznie zagra cała formacja.
Saints uważani są za zdecydowanych faworytów tego meczu. W zasadzie trudno się temu dziwić. Ciężko jest zapomnieć o takiej porażce jaką doznali Seahawks w meczu z Giants. Pamiętajmy jednak, że to Charlie Whitehurst rozpoczął ten mecz a Mike Williams nie był w pełni zdrowy. Ten mecz nie ma tak naprawdę już większego znaczenia. Seahawks to naprawdę solidna drużyna. Poza tym, wbrew temu co się wydaje, Saints wcale nie radzą sobie jakoś świetnie kiedy są zdecydowanymi faworytami. Trener Sean Payton, kiedy tylko jego zespół jest dwucyfrowym faworytem, skutecznie poprowadził zespół do wysokiej wygranej tylko dwa razy z jedenastu spotkań. Uważam, że Seahawks są nieco niedoceniani. Jasne, dwa fatalne mecze z Raiders i Giants pozostawiły negatywne wrażenie. Jednak łatwa wygrana z Cardinals na wyjeździe pokazała, że nie zapomnieli jak się gra w futbol. Jasne, Saints powinni ten mecz wygrać, jednak nie sądzę by dwucyfrową różnicą punktów.
Atlanta Falcons (7-2) @ St. Louis Rams (4-5)
Nim Falcons zostaną okrzyknięci najlepszym zespołem w lidze, chciałbym ich zobaczyć wygrywających trudny, wyjazdowy mecz na otwartym stadionie. Wprawdzie mecz przeciw Rams i tak będzie na osłoniętym boisku, jednak wydaje mi się, że ofensywie Atalnty nie będzie łatwo zdobywać kolejnych jardów. Od czwartej kolejki Rams pozwalają przeciwnikom na zdobywanie tylko 3.8 jarda na akcję biegową. Zatem Michael Turner może wbrew pozorom nie mieć wcale łatwego zadania. Matt Ryan w tej sytuacji będzie musiał wziąć ciężar gry na swoje barki. A to łatwiej się mówi niż robi. Rams są na pierwszym miejscu w lidze pod względem ilości sacks, mają ich 28 na swoim koncie. Wprawdzie Troy Smith zdobył ostatnio 356 jardów w ledwie 28 podaniach, jednak wydaje mi się, że to była swego rodzaju anomalia. Obrona St. Louis przeciw podaniom radzi sobie bardzo dobrze przez cały sezon.
Falcons nie będą jedynym zespołem na boisku mającym problemy z akcjami biegowymi. Owszem, Steven Jackson to jeden z najlepszych running backs w NFL, jednak defensorzy gości od drugiej kolejki nie pozwolili nikomu na zdobycie więcej niż czterech jardów na akcję. Jackson zapewne w tej sytuacji może być częściej wykorzystany do gry podaniami. Tym bardziej, że Sam Bradford nie ma obecnie żadnego dobrego skrzydłowego do swojej dyspozycji, no może Danny Amendola, jednak reszta niestety nie gra odpowiednio regularnie. To dobra informacja dla Falcons, którzy są na 30 miejscu przeciw podaniom jeśli chodzi o średnio tracone jardy na akcję.
Rams mają ciągle problemy by wygrać mecz wyjazdowy. Jednak u siebie to zupełnie inny zespół. Z wyjątkiem meczu otwarcia w sezonie (debiut Bradford'a), wygrali wszystkie cztery spotkania. Pokonując min. Chargers, Redskins czy Seahawks.Oczywiście Falcons są lepszym zespołem niż jakakolwiek drużyna, z którą St. Louis grało w tym sezonie, przynajmniej na papierze. Sęk w tym, że goście mogą nie być w stu procentach skoncentrowani wyłącznie na tym meczu. Po spotkaniu z Rams czekają ich trudne pojedynki z Packers oraz Buccaneers. Rams przy nich to zdecydowanie najsłabszy rywal więc mogą zostać potraktowani nieco ulgowo i wbrew pozorom, czeka nas równy ciekawy pojedynek. I moim zdaniem, gospodarze, w pełni zmobilizowani na to spotkanie, będą w stanie je wygrać.
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