NFL Week 15 - Zapowiedź - Część druga

Zapraszam do lektury drugiej części zapowiedzi spotkań piętnastej kolejki NFL. Poniżej analiza pozostałych ciekawych spotkań tej rundy. Tym razem na tapetę trafiają standardowo mecze rozpoczynające się późnym wieczorem czasu polskiego w najbliższą niedzielę oraz spotkania bloków Sunday Night Football oraz Monday Night Football.

New York Jets (9-4) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3) 

Mark Sanchez gra obecnie kompletną nędzę. Nie wiem co się z nim stało, był na fali, grał świetnie, jednak z jakiegoś powodu, od Święta Dziękczynienia, jest zupełnie inny na boisku. W tym momencie, mecz przeciwko Steelers, jest ostatnią rzeczą o jakiej może sobie marzyć. Zawodnicy Pittsburgh dopiero co zaliczyli dwa przechwyty na przyłożenia, z pewnością jak widzieli mecz Jets z Dolphins uśmiechali się z zadowolenia tego co ich czeka. Problemem Jets jest jeszcze to, że ostatnio mają kłopoty z akcjami biegowymi. I to może się w ogóle nie zmienić. Steelers mają najlepszą obronę przeciwko akcjom po ziemi w całej NFL. Tylko Patriots byli w stanie zdobyć więcej niż 70 jardów przeciwko nim w całym sezonie.

Steelers "zdobyli" 23 z Bengals w ostatnim meczu. Jednak większość z nich to efekt wspomnianych zagrań formacji defensywnej. Pittsburgh męczyli się z regularnym prowadzeniem akcji ofensywnych przez całe spotkanie. Na plus należy wspomnieć to, że Ben Roethlisberger wykonał dobrą pracę przy trzecich próbach w drugiej połowie, co utrzymywało akcje przy życiu. Niemniej Steelers mają spore problemy z offensive line. I gra przeciwko twardej obronie Jets nie poprawi tego w nadchodzącej kolejce. Co ciekawe, drugie miejsce defensywnie w NFL przeciwko akcjom biegowym mają właśnie Jets. Dlatego Rashard Mendenhall nie będzie miał świetnego pojedynku. Do tego Jets skutecznie wywierają presję na rozgrywających. W ostatnim meczu zaliczyli pięć sacks. Przy słabej offensive line gospodarzy, Big Ben nie będzie miał łatwo.

Wydaje mi się, że każdy zespół może złapać chwilową zadyszkę i zagrać kilka spotkań słabiej. Ocenianie Steelers jako zdecydowanego faworyta tego meczu to, moim zdaniem, pomyłka. Jest to efekt przesadnej reakcji na ostatnie występy Jets. Każdy zespół ma słabszą serię. Pamiętajmy, że kilka kolejek temu Patriots przegrali z Browns. I wszyscy wiemy co się stało z z nimi później. Jets, podobnie jak każdy dobry zespół, przebrną przez ten trudny okres i pozbierają się. Uważam, że będzie to widoczne w tym meczu, który zapewne będzie wyrównany do samego końca a wygrana będzie zaledwie różnicą kilku punktów.

 

Denver Broncos (3-10) @ Oakland Raiders (6-7) 

Darren McFadden jest naprawdę niesamowity. Nie wiem co się z nim działo w poprzednich sezonach, jednak teraz McFadden pokonuje bloki i wyprzedza obrońców jak za swoich czasów w Arkansas. Broncos dopiero co pozwolili na zdobycie 177 jardów w 28 próbach drużynie Cardinals. Można się zatem zastanawiać jak planują zatrzymać kogoś takiego jak McFadden. Z takim running back, Jason Campbell będzie w stanie dalej grać solidnie. W ostatnim meczu zagrał całkiem dobrze i tak samo powinno być tym razem. Secondary Denver ma spore problemy z urazami, można zatem oczekiwać, że gospodarze będą zdobywać punkty seriami.

Obecny główny trener Broncos, Eric Studesville, ogłosił, że Kyle Orton pozostanie wyjściowym rozgrywającym. Nie zniechęciła go słaba postawa QB w meczu z Cardinals. Wiem, że fani chcą by Tim Tebow już grał. To jednak chyba dobry ruch, Tebow po prostu nie jest jeszcze gotowy na grę. Orton na początku sezonu notował jakieś niesamowite wręcz statystycznie wyniki. Czy jednak po odejściu Josha McDaniels'a będzie tak robił dalej? Wiem, że Broncos mają zamiar używać tego samego systemu w ataku, tyle tylko, że wcale nie będzie łatwo. Orton pewnie dalej będzie grał słabo, tym bardziej, że Nnamdi Asomugha spewnością solidnie przypilnuje by Brandon Lloyd nie stanowił zagrożenia. Szansą ofensywy gości będą akcje biegowe. Knowshon Moreno nadal zdobywa niezłe ilości jardów a Raiders dopiero co stracili ponad 200 jardów z Jaguars.

Na pierwszy rzut oka wydaje się, że zwycięzca tego pojedynku jest oczywisty. Cóż bowiem musiałoby się wydarzyć by Oakland przegrało, prawda? Jednak myślę, że ten mecz wypada w fatalnym momencie dla Raiders. Drużyna ta, po ciężkiej walce z Jaguars, ma przed sobą dwa trudne spotkania, z Colts i Chiefs. Jak tu się zmobilizować i skoncentrować w pełni na jakiś słaby zespół z Denver? Poza tym Oakland w tym sezonie rozjechało ten zespół zdobywając 59 punktów. Więc teraz u siebie powinna to być jeszcze większa bułka z masłem, prawda? Goście mogą zostać kompletnie zlekceważeni przed tym meczem a jestem pewien, że, mając na uwagę wcześniejszą fatalną porażkę z Raiders, wyjdą by walczyć i gryźć trawę do samego końca. Z Cardinals nie chciało im się za bardzo grać, teraz jednak jestem pewien, że będzie inaczej. Poza tym Oakland to zespół zbudowany na fundamentach gry akcjami biegowymi i solidnej, twardej obrony. Byłbym ostrożny z czynieniem ich zdecydowanymi faworytami jakiegokolwiek meczu. Wbrew pozorom, nie będzie łatwo z Broncos. Spodziewam się wyrównanego meczu.

 

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Pytanie

Czy możesz podać strony po polsku gdzie można się dowiedzieć o drużynach
jaki mają atak jaką obronę ogólnie wszystko
Z góry dziękuje.

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Z polskich stron znam tylko dwie, nfl24 i usasports.

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chce obstawić mecze a żeby

chce obstawić mecze a żeby obstawić trzeba coś wiedzieć na temat drużyn
Widziałem ostatnie procentowe typy podane przez (specjalistów)i mijały się z prawdą.
Interesuje się tym sportem od niedawna i na pewno muszę się jeszcze dużo
nauczyć ale jest to bardzo ciekawe a mecze oglądam na ESPN America.
Widzę że bardzo się w tym orientujesz np. na Steelers było 66% a na New Jork 25% a ty w zapowiedziach nie byłeś taki pewny wygranej Steelers czyli musisz się orientować albo sprzyjało ci szczęście

Stron z danymi statystycznymi

Stron z danymi statystycznymi do NFL w języku polskim nie znam niestety więc nie potrafię pomóc.

Sam sport jest jak najbardziej ciekawy, jednak trzeba zrozumieć pewne aspekty i czynniki mające wpływ na mecz. Mecz Jets jest dobrym przykładem, argumentacje podałem w zapowiedzi i bardzo często zwracam uwagę nie tylko na dane dotyczące gry ataku czy obrony ale też potencjalnego nastawienia, grafika dalszych spotkań i różnych czynników okolicznościowych. Wszystkim co wiem, dzielę się w zapowiedziach.

Oglądałem też mecz

Oglądałem też mecz Philadelphi i mam pytanie czy te wykopnięcie piłki przez nich po którym sami ją przechwycili było zamierzone czy też przypadkowe bo mam wrażenie że miało to duży wpływ na dalsze losy meczu.
Mecz był super szczególnie końcówka wczoraj troche o tym mówili na ESPN America ale niestety nie znam angielskiego i przepraszam że pisze wykopnięcie piłki a nie tak jak się mówi fachowo ale jeszcze nie znam tych nazw.
Strona bardzo mi się podoba jest fajna i fajnie się to czyta i tu mam pytanko czy dało by radę co jakiś czas napisać o jakiejś drużynie co się dzieje np.trener ma duży dylemat bo nie spełnia oczekiwań swoich pracodawców albo ktoś jest kontuzjowany ,zawodnicy pokłócili się na treningu itp.

Wykop jaki wykonali Eagles

Wykop jaki wykonali Eagles był jak najbardziej przez nich zamierzony. Co mnie kompletnie zaskoczyło to fakt, że Giants byli kompletnie nieprzygotowani na to. Przy wyniku 17:31 i 7 minutach do końca, Eagles marząc o remisie nie mieli innego wyjścia. Ostatecznie ryzyko się opłaciło.

Akcja, podczas której drużyna wykopuje piłkę po zdobyczy punktowej nazywa się "kickoff". Drużyna odbierająca piłkę w tej sytuacji przeprowadza akcję "kickoff return". Samo zagranie, które wykonali Eagles nazywa się "onside kick". W NFL po takim wykopie piłka musi przebyć minimum 10 jardów nim kopiący zespół może ją przejąć. Jest to próba utrzymania się przy piłce by dać sobie szanse np. na odrobienie strat. Stąd onside kick często wykonywany jest w końcówkach spotkań. Można też to zagranie przeprowadzać wcześniej jak najbardziej, wówczas przeciwnicy są często kompletnie zaskoczeni. Jednak zawsze jest ryzyko, w przypadku niepowodzenia, rywal uzyskuje piłkę w dogodnej pozycji na boisku. Przykład nieudanego "onside kick" był w ostatniej kolejce w meczu Coklts - Jaguars:

http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2010121903/2010/REG15/jaguars@colts#tab:watch (i tam filmik 'Jaguars' onside kick backfires')

Dzięki za miłe słowa na temat strony, staram się by była pomocna. Niestety nie dam rady pisać na zasadzie serwisu informacyjnego - stąd też głównie analizy nadchodzących i odbytych spotkań oraz luźniejsze felietony. O kontuzjach i innych tego typu rzeczach można czytać np. na nfl24.

Oglądałem też mecz

Oglądałem też mecz Philadelphi i mam pytanie czy te wykopnięcie piłki przez nich po którym sami ją przechwycili było zamierzone czy też przypadkowe bo mam wrażenie że miało to duży wpływ na dalsze losy meczu.
Mecz był super szczególnie końcówka wczoraj troche o tym mówili na ESPN America ale niestety nie znam angielskiego i przepraszam że pisze wykopnięcie piłki a nie tak jak się mówi fachowo ale jeszcze nie znam tych nazw.
Strona bardzo mi się podoba jest fajna i fajnie się to czyta i tu mam pytanko czy dało by radę co jakiś czas napisać o jakiejś drużynie co się dzieje np.trener ma duży dylemat bo nie spełnia oczekiwań swoich pracodawców albo ktoś jest kontuzjowany ,zawodnicy pokłócili się na treningu itp.

statystyka

Podstawowa, ale dobra statystyka po polsku jest tu: www.vitisport.cz
Dla mnie świetną stroną jest www.covers.com, po angielsku, ale statystyki w chyba najlepszym ujęciu.

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