NFL Week 7 - Zapowiedź
Przed nami siódma kolejka rozgrywek NFL. W najbliższej kolejce mamy kilka bardzo ciekawych spotkań. Osobiście, z powodu wyjazdu, nie będę w stanie śledzić na żywo jednak zadowolę się powtórkami po weekendzie. A Wam, drodzy czytelnicy i fani futbolu amerykańskiego, życzę w niedzielę mnóstwa wrażeń. Zapraszam do nieco krótszej niż zwykle zapowiedzi kilku spotkań najbliższej rundy sezonu zasadniczego.
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1) @ Miami Dolphins (3-2)
Miami Dolphins: Mają spore szanse na wygraną ze SteelersBen Roethlisberger zagrał tak jak można się było tego spodziewać. Z jednej strony zaliczył kilka świetnych akcji i pozwolił Steelers na bycie bardziej agresywnymi w ataku, a z drugiej miał kilka beznadziejnych podań. Wliczając w to przechwyt, który pozwolił Browns na zdobycie punktów z rzutu wolnego. Roethlisberger ma przed sobą zdecydowanie trudniejszy test. Secondary Miami to zupełnie inna klasa niż Cleveland. Nie żeby byli najlepsi na świecie, jednak w porównaniu do słabiutkich Browns wypadają zdecydowanie lepiej. Głównym wyzwaniem dla Big Bena będzie unikanie presji. Dolphins w ostatnich dwóch meczach zaliczyli aż osiem sacks, Cameron Wake wypadał w tych pojedynkach rewelacyjnie. A jak wszyscy wiemy, offensive line Steelers ma pewne problemy w tym roku. Na szczęście dla nich, Miami jest nieco słabsze przeciw akcjom biegowym. Rashard Mendenhall powinien zatem zdjąć trochę presji z barków rozgrywającego. Dolphins przed meczem z Packers, kolejnym trzem rywalom pozwolili na zdobycie przynajmniej 106 jardów w akcjach biegowych. Nie jest to powód do dumy.
Patrząc na przedmeczowe opinie, widać wyraźnie, że większość osób oczekuje iż defensywa Steelers zdominuje ofensywę Dolphins. Jeśli również tak uważasz, warto sobie przypomnieć niedawny mecz z Browns. Colt McCoy w swoim pierwszym meczu w NFL zdobył 281 jardów przy wysokiej skuteczności 23/33. Problemem dla Dolphins zapewne będzie przeprowadzanie akcji biegowych, Steelers bronią to jak nikt inny w lidze. Dlatego dla ofensywy gospodarzy istotne będzie to, jak ułoży się współpraca Chad Henne - Brandon Marshall. Wydaje mi się, że Dolphins mają większe szanse na wygraną niż to jak wielu ekspertów ocenia ten mecz. Steelers czeka w następnych kolejkach kilka trudnych spotkań - Saints, Bengals (pokonali Pittsbiugh dwa razy w zeszłym roku) oraz Patriots. Nie widzę tego by byli w stanie odpowiednio się skoncentrować na wyjazdowy mecz z rywalem, który uważany jest za przeciętną ekipę w lidze. A Dolphins, podbudowani niedawnym zwycięstwem z Packers, będą chcieli bardzo dobrze wypaść na swoim stadionie walcząc z najlepszą obecnie drużyną w NFL. I wbrew temu jak to wygląda na papierze, Dolphins według mnie powalczą i mogą ten mecz wygrać. A jeśli przegrają to po zaciętym meczu i minimalną różnicą punktów.
Oakland Raiders (2-4) @ Denver Broncos (2-4)
Bruce Gradkowski ma uraz barku, Jason Campbell podobno nabawił się problemów z kolanem. Z kim więc pozostają Raiders? Kyle Boller! Na dzień dzisiejszy wygląda, że to właśnie on wystąpi w meczu z Broncos. To zła wiadomość. Dobra jest taka, że Darren McFadden powinien zagrać. Raiders będa go potrzebowali nie tylko do akcji biegowych przeciw słabej obronie takich zagrań przez Broncos. Również będzie potrzebny do podań bo podejrzewam, że rozgrywający może często próbować oddawać mu szybko piłkę nie szukając dalekich rozwiązań. Szczęśliwie dla Bollera, Broncos nie są tytanami w presji na rozgrywających. W sześciu meczach zanotowali tylko siedem sacks. Nic szczególnego.
Trudno wyczuć jak wiele minut na boisku zagra Tim Tebow. Zdobył przyłożenie w ostatniej kolejce jednak obsesja trenera, by wykorzystać tego młodego zawodnika w formacjach wild cat, wybiła z rytmu podstawowego rozgrywającego. Kyle Orton miał wyraźnie najsłabszy występ w sezonie, podejrzewam, że te częste zmiany schematów nie ułatwiały mu gry. Dodatkowo Raiders wcale nie są straszni przeciw podaniom. Tyle tylko, że to jedna z najsłabszych defensyw w lidze przeciw akcjom biegowym. Jeśli tylko safeties Oakland będą musieli regularnie wspomagać przednią formację obrony przeciw running backs, na dłuższą metę Kyle Orton może ich zamęczyć podaniami.
Nie ma jeszcze pewności do końca kto zagra na pozycji QB w drużynie Raiders. Jeśli jednak będzie to Boller to podejrzewam, że Broncos staną się szybko ogromnymi faworytami tego spotkania na poziomie około 10 punktów. I tak też wiele osób będzie postrzegać ten mecz. Pamiętajmy jednak, że "niesamowita" dwójka JaMarcus Russell oraz J.P. Losman poprowadziła Raiders do wygranej w Denver w końcówce ubiegłego sezonu. I wówczas gospodarze również mieli gładko i łatwo wygrać. W tym spotkaniu wynik może być bliższy niż się wydaje początkowo a Oakland nie powinno przegrać większą różnicą niż jednego przyłożenia, a może nawet jakaś niespodzianka? Raczej wątpliwe jednak należy oczekiwać twardej walki. Raiders nie zawsze są odpowiednio zmotywowani do gry, jednak przeciwko rywalom z dywizji zawsze dają z siebie maksimum. Od czasu kiedy trenerem w Oakland jest Tom Cable, Raiders na sześć spotkań z rywalami z dywizji gdy byli uważani za ogromnego outsidera, aż cztery razy podejmowali równą walkę. Dodatkowo w meczach wyjazdowych w AFC West, na sześć spotkań tylko w jednym nie podjęli równorzędnej walki. Była to wysoka porażka z Chargers w 2008 roku. Z drugiej strony mamy Broncos, po bardzo bolesnej porażce. W meczu z Jets dali z siebie wszystko, próbowali zaskakiwać i wykorzystywać Tima Tebow'a, a mimo wszystko trochę zabrakło do wygranej. Teraz mają się pozbierać psychicznie na mecz z jakimiś "słabymi" Raiders, którzy dopiero co pozwolili 49ers na pierwszy sukces w sezonie. Nie wiem gdzie znajdą motywację na ten mecz. Raiders powinni zachować bliski dystans punktowy w tym spotkaniu.
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