Wild Card Weekend - Sobota - Zapowiedź
Kluczowa część rozgrywek NFL rozpoczyna się już za kilka dni. Zapraszam zatem do lektury zapowiedzi sobotnich spotkań rozgrywanych w ramach Wild Card Weekend, czyli pierwszej rundy fazy play off.
New Orleans Saints (11-5) @ Seattle Seahawks (7-9)
Czytając i słuchając o tym meczu widzę tylko komentarze w stylu: "Saints zdobędą o XX punktów więcej niż Seahawks", gdzie XX oznacza przynajmniej kilkanaście lub ponad 20. Z jednej strony rozumiem to podejście, w końcu Seahawks to najsłabsza drużyna w tym gronie. Drew Brees kontra najgorsza drużyna, jaka kiedykolwiek dostała się do play off. To musi się skończyć szybko, prawda? Niemożliwe by Saints nie zdobywali punktów przy każdej możliwej okazji, prawda? No cóż, różne cuda się zdarzały w futbolu amerykańskim. Wydaje mi się, że ten mecz będzie dużo trudniejszy dla gości niż większość osób uważa. Mało kto o tym mówi ale należy pamiętać, że kilku kluczowych zawodników, jakich ma do dyspozycji Brees, zmaga się z urazami. Skrzydłowy Marques Colston miał obandażowane kolano w ostatnim meczu. Wprawdzie mówi, że zagra ale raczej nie będzie sprawny na sto procent. Tym samym może bardziej zaszkodzić niż pomóc. Do tego Chris Ivory doznał urazu kostki w meczu finałowym a to oznacza, że podstawowymi running backs jakich będą mieli Saints do dyspozycji to Reggie Bush oraz Julius Jones. Drużyna New Orleans nie będzie w stanie przeprowadzać skutecznych akcji biegowych. Nawet pomimo tego, że Seahawks są dopiero na 19 miejscu w NFL przeciw akcjom po ziemi. Zresztą od czasu jak Colin Cole wrócił do składu grają lepiej. Seattle ograniczyło poczynania trzech z ostatnich czterech rywali do maksymalnie czterech jardów na akcję biegową. Jedynym wyjątkiem była drużyna Buccaneers, z którą Seahawks z jakiegoś powodu nie wykazali chęci do gry. Oczywiście to wszystko nie znaczy, że Saints nie zdobędą punktów. Brees to fenomenalny gracz i na pewno swoje ugra, jednak nie oczekiwałbym od niego poprowadzenia zespołu do tak ogromnej ilości punktów jak niektórzy myślą.
Seahawks w meczu z Saints 21 października zdobyli aż 424 jardy w ofensywie. I to nie jest dorobek ugrany w końcówce kiedy już nic nie miało znaczenia. Seattle, wbrew temu co sugeruje wynik (19:34) naprawdę trzymało bliski dystans do rywali. Decydujące okazały się dwie straty jakie popełnił Marshawn Lynch oraz fatalne sędziowanie. Kilka kar wzbudzało naprawdę spore wątpliwości, w efekcie czego albo Seahawks tracili piłkę albo rywale zdobywali gratisowo kolejne jardy. Świetnie w tym meczu wypadł Matt Hasselbeck, który zdobył 366 jardów i przyłożenie przy wysokiej skuteczności. A ponieważ Saints nie wywierają specjalnie dużej presji na QB w tym roku, bez względu czy to będzie Hasselbeck czy Charlie Whitehurst, rozgrywający gospodarzy powinien zagrać przynajmniej solidnie. By Seattle miało jakiekolwiek szanse w tym meczu kluczowe jest ostrożne obchodzenie się z piłką. Lynch musi uniknąć strat, jak w ostatnim spotkaniu, natomiast Hasselbeck czy Whitehurst nie mogą rzucać piłki gdzie popadnie, jak to czynili już zbyt wiele razy w tym sezonie.
Wielu fanom futbolu amerykańskiego wydaje się, że Saints wygrają ten mecz bez najmniejszych problemów i w dodatku bardzo wysoko. Nawet to, że gości uważa się za dwucyfrowych faworytów nie zniechęca nikogo do zmiany zdania. Zastanówmy się jednak nad tym. Każdy oczekuje od New Orleans wygranej, dosłownie każdy. Pamiętajmy jednak o tym, że kilku utalentowanych ofensywnie graczy drużyny gości ma problemy zdrowotne. Do tego ekipa pod wodzą Sean Payton'a, jako dwucyfrowy faworyt, tylko trzy razy na dwanaście wygrała bardzo wysoko swoje mecze. Pozostałe spotkania były zaskakująco wyrównane. Presja na Saints jest ogromna a nikt nie spodziewa się by gospodarze mieli tutaj cokolwiek do powiedzenia. Seahawks nie mają absolutnie nic do stracenia i to ich szansa. Do tego New Orleans grają słabiej w meczach wyjazdowych na boiskach bez dachu. Z ostatnich spotkań w takich warunkach - przegrali z Ravens i ledwo wygrali z Bengals. Pamiętajmy, że na Qwest Stadium będzie ogromna wrzawa. Ale czy Seattle nie jest najgorszym zespołem w historii playoff pod względem bilansu punktów i różnicy punktowej? To prawda. Jednak następne w zestawieniu zespoły, Cardinals z 1998 oraz Rams z 2004 Rams, wygrały swoje pierwsze mecze w play off, pomimo fatalnego dorobku z sezonu zasadniczego. Moim zdaniem Seahawks będą w stanie prowadzić wyrównaną walkę w tym meczu i różnica w wyniku będzie zaledwie kilku punktów.
New York Jets (11-5) @ Indianapolis Colts (10-6)
Z wyjątkiem kilku okazji, w których Peyton Manning i reszta podstawowych graczy Colts spędziła sporo czasu na ławce rezerwowych, Rex Ryan jeszcze nigdy nie pokonał tego rozgrywającego. Ani jako defensywny koordynator, ani jako główny trener. Główny powód tego jest jeden - Ryan uwielbia wykonywać akcję blitz i wywierać ogromną presję w ten sposób na QB a Manning z kolei niesamowicie radzi sobie z tymi zagraniami. Aby go wytrącić z rytmu trzeba regularnie i skutecznie wywierać nacisk czwórką graczy w przedniej formacji. Jeśli zbyt często zacznie wykonywać się blitz, Manning dość szybko zorientuje się w sytuacji. Tak miało to miejsce w zeszłorocznym meczu w AFC Championship. Po trzech seriacj Manning rozgryzł Jets i obronę jaka przygotował Rex Ryan i gra się zmieniła. Oczywiście teraz można dyskutować czy w tym roku historia się powtórzy. Oczywistym argumentem jest to, że ofensywa Colts nie jest tak dobra jak rok wcześniej. Jednak trzeba zdać sobie sprawę, że defensywa Jets również nie gra tak dobrze jak w poprzednim sezonie. Jeszcze niedawno Jay Cutler poprowadził Bears do zdobycia 38 punktów przeciwko nim. Zapewne Ryan przygotuje coś nowego i specjalnego na ten mecz, i zapewne Colts będą męczyć się w ofensywie w pierwszej kwarcie. Jednak kiedy tylko Manning rozgryzie rywala, Indianapolis zacznie zdobywać regularnie kolejne jardy.
jeszcze cztery tygodnie temu szanse Jets w meczu z Colts wyglądały bardzo dobrze. Shonn Greene oraz LaDainian Tomlinson przeciwko mizernej defensywie Colts, która nie radzi sobie z akcjami biegowymi? W jaki sposób niby Indianapolis miałoby ich zatrzymać? Cóż, w ciągu miesiąca zmieniły się dwie rzeczy. Po pierwsze, Jets nie przeprowadzają akcji biegowych już tak skutecznie. Tomlinson mocno obniżył loty a offensive line już nie otwiera tak świetnych luk w defensywie na kolejne akcje. Po drugie, defensywa Colts, jeśli chodzi o akcje biegowe, poprawiła się. Spójrzmy jak wyglądały ostatnie trzy mecze Indianapolis. Najpierw Maurice Jones-Drew oraz zespół Jaguars zdobyli tylko 59 jardów w 18 próbach. W kolejny weekend Darren McFadden i Raiders zostali ograniczeni do 70 jardów w 17 akcjach. I w ostatnim meczu sezonu, Chris Johnson oraz Titans zdobyli tylko 44 jardy w 21 akcjach. Można zatem śmiało oczekiwać, że Greene i Tomlinson zostaną skutecznie ograniczeni w tym spotkaniu. Tym samym Mark Sanchez będzie musiał polegać przede wszystkim na swoich umiejętnościach. Czy to wystarczy? Bardzo trudno ocenić. Sanchez w jeden weekend gra niesamowicie by w kolejny wyglądać jak przedszkolak na boisku. Bardzo trudno wyczuć, który Sanchez pojawi się na boisku przed każdym meczem. Jego nieregularność jest sporym problemem dla Jets. Coś co powinno napawać optymizmem fanów NY jest to, że Kerry Collins zagrał całkiem dobry mecz z Colts w ostatniej kolejce. Jest zatem spora szansa, że QB gości również zaliczy udane spotkanie.
Ze wszystkich czterech spotkań, jakie będą miały miejsce w nadchodzący weekend, to właśnie spotkanie najtrudniej mi ocenić. Wydaje mi się, że Colts wygrają, głównie z racji tego, że Manning za każdym razem rozgryzł to co przygotował Ryan. Nie potrafię jednak określić się jeśli chodzi o to czy będzie dużo punktów różnicy między zespołami czy nie. Pamiętajmy jednak, że ten rozgrywający przeciw defensywom grającym formacją 3-4 w obronie, w play off wygrał tylko trzy z ośmiu spotkań. Do tego wygrał dziewięć z osiemnastu wszystkich spotkań. Wydaje mi się jednak, że mecz z Jets będzie świetną okazją dla niego na poprawę wspomnianego bilansu. Typuję do wygranej Colts, tylko trudno stwierdzić czy będzie wyrównany mecz czy też nie.
Odpowiedzi
Super Bowl ?
Czy jakieś polskie kino kiedykolwiek pokazało Super Bowl? jeśli nie to może napisać prośbę żeby puścili, pod którą podpisze się jak najwieksza ilość fanów FA, myślę że zobaczenie Super Bowl na wielkim ekranie było by czyms niesamowitym.
Przyznaje, że bardzo ciekawy
Przyznaje, że bardzo ciekawy to pomysł. Chętnie sam bym obejrzał ten mecz na wielkim ekranie. Nie słyszałem jednak by gdziekolwiek taka inicjatywa wcześniej miała miejsce. Pewnie wszystko zależy od fanów czyli od nas tak naprawdę. Wiem, że np. w Krakowie są organizowane spotkania przy Super Bowl w barach. Jednak to zdecydowanie inny rozmiar ekranu... żeby pomyśleć o takiej akcji trzeba by zrobić to szybko i dotrzeć do szerokiej rzeszy fanów w jakichś miastach. Chętnie bym się pisał na coś takiego, nie wiem tylko na ile to się uda w tym ograniczonym czasie.
Super Bowl
Stworzyłem na forum USAsports temat o Super Bowl na dużym ekranie, prosiłbym każdego o udzielanie sie w nim, oraz o zainteresowaniu kolejnych zainteresowanych zobaczeniem finału NFL na dużym ekranie, oto link:
http://www.usasports.pl/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1671
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Survivor Pick
Czy gramy dalej w play off ( w tym w Wild Card ) ???
Tak jak pisałem w zasadach -
Tak jak pisałem w zasadach - W każdej kolejce sezonu zasadniczego uczestnicy wybierają (typują) jeden zespół, który ich zdaniem wygra swój mecz. Odpowiadając zatem na pytanie - na ten sezon to już konic. Planowałem na dniach zrobić podsumowanie konkursu i złożyć oficjalne gratulacje zwycięzcy.
Marcin dobrze prawisz :)
Chyba miałeś racje, czeka nas zacięty pojedynek z minimalną różnica punktową, a tak szczerze to jak narazie wcale bym nie skreślał szans Seahowks.
Seahawks jednak wygrali, cóż
Seahawks jednak wygrali, cóż za mecz swoją drogą. Spodziewałem się walki ale nie takiego wysokiego wyniku i jeszcze wygranej gospodarzy, no ale to jest urok sportu w końcu. Mecz oglądało się świetnie. Z kolei Colts odpadli, myślałem, że gospodarze wygrają po wyjściu na prowadzenie 16:14, mało czasu zostało jednak Sanchez pokazał tam klase... ogólnie dwa bardzo fajne mecze. Miło się oglądało.
Dwa bardzo ładne pojedynki,
Dwa bardzo ładne pojedynki, treche szkoda mi Colts, myślałem że po FG na 53 sekundy przed końcem meczu mają go już w garści, tym bardziej że defense Colts naprawde spiął poślady i zagrał bardzo dobry mecz i napewno nie wyglądał na jednen z najgorszych (tylko Seahawks mają gorszy) z Wild Card, szkoda że na samą końcówke wkradło się w ich szergi jakieś rozluźnienie, na temat Saints napisze krótko i na temat, trafili wczoraj do piekła :) nikt nie spodziewał się aż tak dobrze dysponowanej całej drużyny Seahawks, naprawde wznieśli się ponad swój poziom, respect !
Trzy z czterech spotkań
Trzy z czterech spotkań zakończyły się takimi wynikami jakimi chciałem, szkoda tylko, że tym jedynym wyjątkiem byli Colts. Obrona nie była nigdy ich mocną stroną, to potęga ataku decydowała o ich sile, jednak kontuzje i brak graczy takich jak Clark, Collie czy Gonzo mocno dawał się we znaki. Zresztą w obronie też było trochę luk. Teraz tematem numer jeden w Indianapolis będzie zapewne sprawa kończącego się kontraktu Manninga.
No a Saints, cóż, ciężko jest obronić tytuł w NFL, no ale to co zrobili Seahawks było niesamowite. Obrona w tym meczu była fatalna ale trzeba przyznać, że oglądało się bardzo fajnie :)
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In Tunisia, the U.S., European and Arab nations asked the U.N. to start drafting plans for a civilian peacekeeping mission that would deploy after the Damascus regime halts the brutal crackdown.
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Assad's security forces have responded with a fierce crackdown, and blame the violence on Islamic extremists and armed gangs. In recent months, the situation has grown increasingly militarized as opposition forces, boosted by army defectors, have increasingly taken up arms against the regime.
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The U.N. estimated in January that 5,400 people were killed in the conflict in 2011. Hundreds more have died since. Syrian activists say the death toll is more than 7,300. Overall figures cannot be independently confirmed because Syria has prevented most media from operating inside the country
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On Thursday, U.N.-appointed investigators in Geneva said they had compiled a list of Syrian officials accused of crimes against humanity in the crackdown. The list reaches as high as Assad.
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Alexei Pushkov, a Russian lawmaker, said Friday that in his recent meeting with Assad the Syrian president sounded confident and showed no sign he would he step aside. Pushkov warned that arming the Syrian opposition would fuel civil war.
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